Wednesday, March 19, 2008

'08 RAPs: Cincinatti Reds

I love what the Reds have done this off-season. They were able to bolster their pitching staff without giving up Homer Bailey, Johnny Cueto, or any other prospects. The Reds are once again contenders in the NL Central.
Here are the Reds off-season moves:
-Signed pitcher Francisco Cordero to a four-year deal.
-Signed pitcher Jeremy Affeldt to a one-year deal.
-Signed pitcher Josh Fogg to a one-year deal.
-Signed outfielder Corey Patterson to a one-year deal.
-Signed infielder Jerry Hairston Jr to a minor league deal.

Pitching Staff:
SP1: Aaron Harang
SP2: Bronson Arroyo
SP3/4/5: Homer Bailey/Matt Belisle/Johnny Cueto/Edison Volquez
CL: Francisco Cordero
SUM: David Weathers

Field:
C: David Ross/Javier Valentin
1B: Joey Votto/Scott Hatteberg
2B: Brandon Philips
SS: Alex Gonzalez
3B: Ryan Freel/Edwin Encarnacion
LF: Adam Dunn
CF: Corey Patterson/Ryan Freel
RF: Ken Griffey Jr.

Predictions:
Easiest- The Reds will not make the playoffs.
Boldest- The Reds will finish second in the NL Central.
Team MVP/Best Season- Adam Dunn (45-50 HRs, 110-120 RBI, under 200 Ks)
Best Pitcher/Breakout Player- Homer Bailey (12-15 wins, sub-4 ERA

Tuesday, March 18, 2008

'08 RAPs: Pittsburgh Pirates

The Pirates have been the second most pathetic team in baseball over the last 20 years (Also the second most pathetic in Pennsylvania). Ever since losing Barry Lamar Bonds to free agency, this franchise has been unable to rebound. That is why it puzzles me to see the Pirates do so little in the off-season year, after year, after year... and once again this year.
Here are the Pirates' moves this off-season:
-Acquired pitchers Marino Salas and Kevin Roberts from the Milwaukee Brewers for pitcher Salomon Torres.
-Signed pitchers Jaret Wright, Hector Carrasco, Casey Fossum, Elmer Dessens, Adam Bernero, and T.J. Beam, catcher Raul Cavez, utility man Jose Macias, and first baseman Doug Mientkiewicz to minor league contracts.
-Claimed shortstop Ray Olmedo off waivers from the Toronto Blue Jays.

Pitching Staff:
SP1: Ian Snell
SP2: Tom Gorzelanny
SP3: Paul Moholm
SP4/5: Zach Duke/Matt Morris
CL: Matt Capps
SUM: Damaso Marte

Field:
C: Ronny Paulino
1B: Adam LaRoche
2B: Freddy Sanchez
SS: Jack Wilson
3B: Jose Batista
LF: Jason Bay
CF: Nate McLouth/Chris Duffy
RF: Xavier Nady

Predictions:
Easiest- The Pirates will finish last, once again.
Boldest- Ian Snell will have over 200 strikeouts.
Team MVP/Best Season/Breakout Player- Ian Snell (14-16 wins, sub-4 ERA, +200 Ks)
Best Hitter- Jason Bay (30-35 HRs, 80-95 RBI)



*P.S.: The reason there was no '08 RAP yesterday was because I was out all night. However, I will be able to do two posts on Thursday and Friday.*

Sunday, March 16, 2008

'08 RAPs: NL Central

Many say it is the worst division in baseball. I personally am inclined to agree. However, it is also a very deep division, in which the Pirates are the only horrible team. Anyway, it was an exciting division this year; culminating in the emergence of the Chicago Cubs and their new concept of spending money. Here's the rundown:

On May first, the Brew Crew was in first place, 4 ahead of the Reds and Pirates, 6 ahead of fourth place Chicago, and 6.5 ahead of Houston and the defending champion, St. Louis.
On June first, Milwaukee was starting to run away. They had a 6.5 game lead on second place St. Louis, a 7.5 game lead on Chicago and Pittsburgh, an 8.5 game lead on fifth place Houston, and a 9.5 game lead on last place Cincinnati.
On July first, the Brewers still had a commanding 6.5 game lead; however, it was now over Chicago. St. Louis was the only other team within 10 games at 9.5 back.
At the break, Chicago was 4.5 games back and the Cards were 7.5 back, in third place.
On August first, Chicago and Milwaukee were tied for first with third place St. Louis 6 back.
On September first, Chicago was in full possession of first place with the Brewers 1.5 back and St. Louis 2 games back.
Two weeks later, St. Louis dropped to third place and 6 games out (out of the race) following the Rick Ankiel HGH revelation. Chicago was still in first, one game ahead of Milwaukee.
A week later, on the 22nd, Chicago had pushed Milwaukee 2.5 back. The Brewers post-season aspirations were now on life support.
Chicago clinched the division on the 28th despite only being 3 ahead of Milwaukee at the time and only having a 84-76 record.

That was an exciting division. It should not be as weak this year as in the previous years. Anyway, here are the final standings for your 2007 NL Central Division:
1. Cubs: 85-77
2. Brewers: 83-79 (2 GB)
3. Cardinals: 78-84 (7 GB)
4. Astros: 73-89 (12 GB)
5. Reds: 72-90 (13 GB)
6. Pirates: 68-94 (17 GB)

Saturday, March 15, 2008

'08 RAPs: Final AL West Rundown and Predictions

After covering the Angels, Mariners, Athletics, and Rangers this past week, it is finally time to make my final predictions for the 2008 AL Western Division. But first, let's break down the division by pitching and offense.

Pitching:
4. Rangers:
You know your rotation is in bad shape when your ace is Kevin Millwood. The Rangers are relying on Jason Jennings to bounce back in a big way to have a somewhat decent rotation. However, the good news for Rangers fans is the fact they they managed to pick up both Blake Beavan and Micheal Main in last years draft, giving them two big pitching prospects on the way.
The Rangers bullpen is young and promising; however, don't be surprised if C.J. Wilson or Joaquin Benoit are flipped at the deadline.
3. Athletics:
The A's rotation could get significantly worse if Joe Blanton is dealt anytime soon. Then the A's would be fully relying on Rich Harden to stay healthy in order to win 70games this season. Since Blanton is still an A though, the A's still have a better rotation than the Rangers.
The A's also have a good pen; but, that could very well fall apart it Huston Street can't remain healthy.
2. Mariners:
The acquisition of Erik Bedard has put the Mariners rotation over the top. If King Felix produces like he did at the beginning of 2007 and Erik Bedard duplicates his 2007 season, the Mariners could have a special season.
Also, keeping up the trend of trying to repeat their '07 magic, J.J. Putz will be trying to, once again be among the top players in the game.
1. Angels:
With the addition of Jon Garland, the Angels have one of the top three rotations in baseball. If Ervin Santana performs half as well as last year, there will be no stopping the Angels at all.
And of course, K-Rod is K-Rod, so the Angels pen is in fine shape as well.

Offense:
4. Athletics:
After losing Nick Swisher, the core of the A's offense last year, the A's seem to be done. Unless of course, Jack Cust improves greatly AND Mike Sweeney returns to the form he was in in his prime.
3. Mariners:
Outside of Ichiro, I don't see much production coming from the Mariners offense. Sexson and Ibanez will continue to age as usual. The only way for the M's to have a decent offense is if Ichiro hits for as much power in the game as he apparently does in BP.
2. Rangers:
The Rangers have a great young offense. If Josh Hamilton and Jarrod Saltalamacchia use their great potential properly and Milton Bradley stays out of trouble, the ever consistent Michael Young and company will be very good this year.
1. Angels:
After signing Torri Hunter this off-season to compliment Vlad Guerrero and company, the Angels stay ahead of the rest of the division in the offensive department.

Final Predictions:

Standings:
1. Angels, 98-64
2. Mariners, 88-74
3. Athletics, 72-90
4. Rangers, 70-92

Awards:
Division MVP: Vlad Guerrero; nothing much to say about this pick. He's the best player on the best team.
Runner Up: Torri Hunter
Divisional CY-Young: Felix Hernandez; hopefully for King Felix he will put his past injury problems behind him, allowing him to finally show why he was brought up to the majors at such a young age.
Runner Up: John Lackey

Friday, March 14, 2008

'08 RAPs: Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim

There's not much to say about the Angels off-season. They only made one major move. It's not like they needed to do much more anyway.
-Acquired pitcher Jon Garland from the Chicago White Sox for SS Orlando Cabrera

Pitching Staff:
SP1: John Lackey
SP2: Jon Garland
SP3: Jared Weaver
SP4: Ervin Santana
SP5: Joe Saunders
CL: Francisco Rodriguez
SUM: Scott Shields

Field:
DH: Gary Matthews Jr./Garret Anderson/Juan Rivera
C: Mike Napoli
1B: Casey Kotchman
2B: Howie Kendrick
SS: Erick Aybar/Maicer Izturis
3B: Chone Figgins
LF: Garret Anderson/Gary Matthews Jr./Reggie Willits
CF: Torri Hunter
RF: Vlad Guerrero

Predictions:
Easiest- The Angels will win the AL West.
Boldest- NONE
Team MVP/Best Season- Vlad Guerrero (30-35 HR +100 RBI)
Best Pitcher- John Lackey (14-17 wins, sub-4.00 ERA)
Breakout Player- Casey Kotchman (25-28 HR, 85-95 RBI)

Thursday, March 13, 2008

'08 RAPs: Seattle Mariners

General Manager Bill Bavasi has had quite a good winter. Despite leaving his somewhat feeble offense alone, he has managed to better his team tremendously. With the acquisitions of Erik Bedard and Carlos Silva, the M's now have a rotation that is good enough to compete with the Angels... almost.
Here are the Mariners' off-season moves:
-Signed pitcher Carlos Silva to a four-year contract.
-Signed pitcher Arthur Rhodes to a minor league contract
-Signed outfielder Brad Wilkerson to a one-year contract.
-Signed infielder Miguel Cairo to a one-year contract.
-Acquired pitcher Erik Bedard from the Baltimore Orioles for outfielder Adam Jones and pitchers George Sherrill, Chris Tillman, Kam Mickolio and Tony Butler.
-Signed infielder Greg Norton to a minor league contract.

Pitching Staff:
SP1: Erik Bedard
SP2: Felix Hernandez
SP3: Carlos Silva
SP4: Jarrod Washburn
SP5: Miguel Batista
CL: J.J. Putz
SUM: Brandon Morrow

Field:
DH: Jose Vidro
C: Kenji Johjima
1B: Richie Sexson
2B: Jose Lopez
SS: Yuniesky Betancourt
3B: Adrian Beltre
LF: Raul Ibanez
CF: Ichiro Suzuki
RF: Brad Wilkerson

Predictions:
Easiest- The Mariners will finish in second in the West.
Boldest- Erik Bedard and King Felix will combine for over 400 innings.
Team MVP/Best Pitcher/Breakout Player- Felix Hernandez (17-19 wins,3.50 ERA,+230 K's)
Best Hitter- Ichiro Suzuki (15-25 HR, +.340 AVG.)

Wednesday, March 12, 2008

'08 RAPs: Oakland Athletics

"Money-balling" GM Billy Beane was in full sell mode this off-season. He traded away both his best pitcher (Dan Haren) and posittion player (Nick Swisher) after realizing that his team has no chance of winning.
Here's the list of Beane's moves:
-Traded pitchers Dan Haren and Connor Robertson to the Oakland Athletics for pitchers Brett Anderson, Dana Eveland and Greg Smith, outfielders Aaron Cunningham and Carlos Gonzalez and infielder Chris Carter.
-Acquired outfielder Ryan Sweeney and pitchers Gio Gonzalez and Fautino De Los Santos from the Chicago White Sox for outfielder Nick Swisher.
-Signed outfielder Emil Brown to a one-year contract.
-Signed first baseman Mike Sweeney to a minor league contract.
-Signed catcher Matt LeCroy to a minor league contract

Pitching Staff:
SP1: Joe Blanton
SP2: Rich Harden
SP3: Chad Gaudin
SP4: Justin Duchserer
SP5: Lenny DiNardo
CL: Huston Street
SUM: Keith Foulke

Field:
DH: Jack Cust/Mike Sweeney
C: Kurt Suzuki
1B: Dan Hohnson/Daric Barton/Mike Sweeney
2B: Mark Ellis
SS: Bobby Crosby
3B: Eric Chavez/Jack Hannahan
OF: Travis Buch/Emil Brown/Chris Denorfia/Carlos Gonzalez/Ryan Sweeney/Jack Cust

Predictions:
Easiest- The A's will trade Joe Blanton mid-season.
Boldest- Mike Sweeney will lead the West in OBP this season.
Team MVP/Best Season- Mike Sweeney (10-15 HRs, .320-.350 AVG, 400-450 ABs)
Best Pitcher/Breakout Player- Rich Harden (8-12 wins, sub-4.25 ERA)

Tuesday, March 11, 2008

08 RAPs: Texas Rangers

After several years of irrelevance, GM Jon Daniels finally earned his paycheck at the trade deadline last year. Along with their stellar first round of the Rule 4 draft, thanks to the prospects picked up at the deadline, the Rangers have one of the best farm systems in the game. Daniels has also had a very good off-season.
Here are his off-season moves:
-Signed pitcher Sidney Ponson to minor league contract.
-Signed outfielder Kevin Mench to a minor league contract.
-Signed pitcher Jason Jennings to a one-year contract.
-Signed pitcher Eddie Guardado to a one-year contract.
-Signed pitcher Kazuo Fukumori to a two-year contract with a club option for 2010
-Signed infielder Edgardo Alfonzo to a minor league contract
-Acquired first baseman Ben Broussard from the Seattle Mariners for infielder Tug Hulett
-Acquired outfielder Josh Hamilton from the Reds for pitcher Edison Volquez

Pitching Staff:
SP1: Kevin Millwood
SP2/3/4: Kason Gabbard/Jason Jennings/Vincente Padilla
SP5: Luis Mendoza
CL/SUM: Joaquin Benoit/C.J. Wilson

Field:
DH: Frank Catalanotto
C: Jarrod Saltalamacchia/Gerald Laird
1B: Ben Broussard/Jason Botts
2B: Ian Kinsler
SS: Michael Young
3B: Hank Blalock
LF: Marlon Byrd
CF: Josh Hamilton
RF: Milton Bradley

Predictions:
Easiest- The Rangers will finish in third place.
Boldest- The Rangers' team ERA will be over 6.00 for the season.
Team MVP/Best Season- Michael Young (20-25 HR, +.320 AVG.)
Best Pitcher/Breakout Player- Kason Gabbard (9-12 wins, sub-4.oo ERA)

Monday, March 10, 2008

'08 RAPs: AL West

For the most part, the AL West was the most boring division in baseball last year. The Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim were clearly, by far the best team. Despite a brief run by the Mariners, the Angels completely dominate rotation, pretty strong pen, and relatively formidable lineup had the division rapped up from Opening Day on. Here's the rundown:


On May first, the Angels were two games ahead of second place Seattle and 2.5 ahead of third place Oakland.

On June first, LAA was ahead of second place Seattle by 5.5 games and ahead of the third place A's by 6.5. Texas, by the way, was already 13.5 back.

On July first, the Mariners were 4 back, while Oakland slipped to 8.5 back (out of the race for good).

At the break, the M's moved to two-and-a-half back of the Angels.

On August first, the M's were still hanging in there at 3 back.

By September first, the M's were 6.5 back and pretty much out of the race.

The Angels clinched the division on September 23.


Well, that was boring! Will it be a more exciting division this year? Find out on Sunday, when I make my predictions. Anyway, here are the final standings for the 2007 AL Western Division:

1. Angels: 94-68

2. Mariners: 88-74 (6 GB)

3. Athletics: 76-86 (18 GB)

4. Rangers: 75-87 (19 GB)


Stay Tuned: Texas Rangers tomorrow!

Sunday, March 9, 2008

'08 RAPs: Final AL East Rundown and Predictions

After covering the Red Sox, Yankees, Blue Jays, Orioles, and Rays this past week, it is finally time to make my final predictions for the 2008 AL Eastern Division. But first, let's break down the division by pitching and offense.

Pitching:

5. Orioles:
After losing Erik Bedard to the Mariners, the Orioles have one of the three worst rotations in the game. The only pitcher who has a chance of having a decent season is Jeremy Gutrie. Guthrie exploded on to the scene last year after being a disappointment to all the scouts that heralded him as a potential future stud. For all the inconsistency in his career, I'm unwilling to say that Guthrie is nearly as good as he was last year.
The Orioles bullpen is below average as well. After acquiring George Sherrill in the Bedard trade, it appears to me that he'll assume the closer's role. If that happens, the Orioles will also have the worst closer in the game. It's okay Orioles fans, you still have the 4th pick in the draft in June to look foward to.
4. Yankees:
The Yankees fans will probably say that this is a biased choice to rank the Yankees behind the Rays; however, I feel it is completely justifiable. Andy Pettitte had a rough off-season and has a long history of elbow troubles. C.M. Wang is not a good pitcher; in my mind, he is at best a number 3 guy. Phil Hughes and Ian Kennedy are unproven and Mussina struggled greatly last season.
The Yankees pen, with the addition of LaTroy Hawkins, has potential to be above average. While, as those of you who saw my "Prospect Perspective" post on him in December would know, I'm not too fond of Joba Chamberlain, I think he could do an adequate job as a 7th inning guy. However, the one concern Yankee fans should have is whether this is the year Mariano Rivera finally goes downhill.
3. Rays:
I love how Andy Friedmann has put together this pitching staff. With Scott Kazmir, Matt Garza, and James Shields at the front of the rotation the Rays have the best rotation in franchise history. Throw in the fact that they have top major league ready pitching prospects in Jeff Niemann and David Price.
I also love the acquisition of Troy Percival. Percival and Al Reyes give the Rays a strong back end of the bullpen to close out games.
2. Toronto:
The Blue Jays pitching staff depends totally on health this year. If Roy Halladay continues to have injury problems and A.J. Burnett continues to get hurt every other day, the Jays rotation will struggle. If both pitchers remain healthy, Toronto should have a solid rotation.
In the pen, it all comes down to whether B.J. Ryan can make a successful return or not. If yes, the Jays will have a way of shortening games to eight innings. If not, the Jays can count on Jeremy Accardo to blow a few games a month.
1. Boston:
Although they took a big hit with the loss of Curt Schilling, the Red Sox rotation could be among the top 10 in baseball if Dice-K learns the strike zone a little better and Clay Buccholtz and Jon Lester can become the-top-half-of-the-rotation starters they're supposed to become.
The real strength for Boston is their pen. With Johnathan Paplebon quickly becoming the best closer in the game, that shortens most of Boston's games to 8 innings. Throw in the fact that they have three of the best 7th and 8th inning relievers in Hideki Okajima, Mike Timlin, and Manny Delcarmen; the only way to beat the Sox is to get to their starters early and often.

Offense:
5. Orioles:
The Orioles have a very weak offense this year. With the loss of Miguel Tejada, and possible loss of Brian Roberts, the Orioles best Opening Day hitter could be Nick Markakis (who is the best Greek baseball player in the game). If the Orioles want to finish with anything other than the 30th ranked offense in the game, they'll need contributions from Adam Jones, Ramon Hernandez, and Melvin Mora in a big way.
4. Blue Jays:
The Jays offense took a bit of a hit. They traded away Troy Glaus for an inferior offensive third baseman in Scott Rolen. The only way the Blue Jays can have a league average offense is if the two ex-Cardinals can perform like they did at the peeks of their careers.
3. Rays:
The Rays offense is young, with a few skilled veterans, like Cliff Floyd, mixed in. However, with Cliff Floyd and Carlos Pena as the two major stabilizing forces in the lineup, prone to left handed pitching, the Rays could struggle against southpaws this season.
2. Red Sox:
The Red Sox still have one of the most dominant one, two punches in history in Manny and Papi.The only thing that keeps them out of the #1 rank is the fact that I don't know which Mike Lowell will be playing third for them this year; the one Florida couldn't wait to get rid of, or the one that had a tremendous year last year.
1. Yankees:
Thanks to Alex Rodriguez, the Yankees earn the top rank despite their rosters increased age. However, with Jorge Posada, Hideki Matsui, Derek Jeter, Bobby Abreu, Jason Giambi, and Johnny Damon on the downside of their careers, the Yankees offense has a chance to struggle this year.

Final Predictions:

Standings:
1. Boston; 89-73
2. Tampa Bay; 85-77, 4 GB
3. New York; 84-78, 5 GB
4. Toronto; 83-79; 6GB
5. Baltimore; 59-103; 30 GB

Awards:
Division MVP: Manny Ramirez; How Manny performs this season could have a huge effect on whether or not he is in Boston next season. Everyone knows that Manny is the type of player that plays well when he wants to, and doesn't play as well if he doesn't feel like it. This is why I'm picking Manny to have a monster season; perhaps, the best of his career.
Runner Up: A-Rod

Divisional CY-Young: Josh Beckett; Beckett is one of the top five pitchers in the game. While some people try to diminish his regular season abilities by saying he is only one of the best in the postseason, I still believe that Beckett can win 20 games every year.
Runner Up: Scott Kazmir

Saturday, March 8, 2008

TECHNICAL DIFFICULTIES!

Do to some technical difficulties, I have to put off my AL East Predictions to tommorrow. Therefore, stating Monday I'll start covering the AL West. Since the West consists of only 4 teams, that should get me back on track by next weekend.

Friday, March 7, 2008

'08 RAPs: Boston Red Sox

While I will never criticize Theo Epstein, I must say that I am not a big fan of his off-season lack of action. Right now, without Curt Schilling, the Sox rotation is looking pretty weak. It will take a tremendous season from Daisuke to get the Sox anywhere near a repeat championship. Unless of course, Ultra-GM Theo Epstein can make a deadline move for a Sabathia, Kazmir, or Gil Meche.
Anyway, here's the off-season rundown:
-Acquired pitcher David Aardsma from the Chicago White Sox for pitchers Willy Mota and Miguel Socolovich.
-Signed fist baseman Sean Casey to a one-year contract
-Signed pitcher Bartolo Colon to a minor league deal.
-Signed infielder Junior Spivey to a minor league deal.

Pitching Staff:
SP1: Josh Beckett
SP2: Daisuke Matsuzaka
SP3: Tim Wakefield
SP4: Clay Buchholtz
SP5: Jon Lester/Julian Tavarez
CL: Johnathan Paplebon
SUM: Hideki Okajima/Mike Timlin/Manny Delcarmen

Field:
DH: David Ortiz
C: Jason Varitek
1B: Kevin Youkilis
2B: Dustin Pedroia
SS: Julio Lugo
3B: Mike Lowell
LF: Manny Ramirez
CF: Jacoby Ellsbury/Coco Crisp
RF: J.D. Drew

Predictions:
Easiest- Boston will repeat as AL East Champions.
Boldest- Boston will not win 90 games this season.
Team MVP- Theo Epstein (Will acquire a star pitcher; probably Sabathia)
Best Season/Best Hitter- Manny Ramirez (40-45 HRs, 120-130 RBIs; contract year)
Best Pitcher- Josh Beckett (15-19 wins, sub-4 ERA, 225-250 K's)
Breakout Player- Daisuke Matsuzaka (14-18 wins, sub-4 ERA)

Thursday, March 6, 2008

'08 RAPs: New York Yankees

With the new Steinbrenner regime in New York, the off-season strategy of the Yankess was changed this winter. Instead of going out and acquiring the best guys on the market, the Yanks are willing to allow their whole to hang on the shoulders of Phil Hughes, Joba Chamberlain, and Ian Kennedy. While I'm not a big fan of this strategy, I must say it takes guts and faith in your prospects to allow your opening day rotation to be two unproven, young pitchers, one pitcher who has spent the whole off-season talking about HGH, a sinker-baller who chokes in every game of any sort of magnitude, and either a 'dying' "Moose" or a "Kei" that hasn't quite work.
However, the worst move, by far, for the Yanks was allowing Joe Torre to go. Sure, old Joe had a tendency for burning out every pitcher in his pen, but he is great with the young players. Where as Joe Girardi, who was able to anger and ruin a franchise in one year, single handily destroyed the best young rotation in baseball in Josh Johnson, Ricky Nolasco, and Anibal Sanchez.
Here are the Yankees off-season moves:
-Signed infielders Morgan Ensberg and Chris Woodward to minor league contracts.
-Signed pitcher LaTroy Hawkins to a one-year contract

Pitching Staff:
SP1: Andy Pettitte
SP2: Chien-Ming Wang
SP3: Phil Hughes
SP4: Ian Kennedy
SP5: Mike Mussina/Kei Igawa
CL: Mariano Rivera
SUM: Joba Chamberlain/LaTroy Hawkins

Field:
DH: Hideki Matsui
C: Jorge Posada
1B: Jason Giambi
2B: Robinson Cano
SS: Derek Jeter
3B: Alex Rodriguez
LF: Johnny Damon
CF: Melky Cabrera
RF: Bobby Abreu

Predictions:
Easiest- The Yankees will not win the division for the second straight year.
Boldest- The Yanks will finish in third or fourth, behind the Rays.
Team MVP/Best Season- Alex Rodriguez (30-35 HRs, 100-115 RBI)
Best Pitcher/Breakout Player- Phil Hughes (10-15 wins, sub-4 ERA, 160-180 K's)

Wednesday, March 5, 2008

'08 RAPs: Toronto Blue Jays

Due to an increased comfort level and belief that the Jays will be able to contend this year, GM J.P.Riccardi has remained somewhat silent this off-season. While the notion that the Jays are going to be able to contend at all in the East, without an upgrade, is very premature, I can understand Riccardi's reluctance to venture out into the very shallow free agent pool. However, there is really no reason that the Blue Jays should be considered contenders after such a quiet winter, in which their only two moves involved downgrading their third baseman and signing a pesky, aging shortstop.
Here's just how quiet the off-season was for the Jays:
-Traded third baseman Troy Glaus to the Cardinals for third baseman Scott Rolen
-Signed shortstop David Eckstein to a one-year deal.
-Signed outfielder Shannon Stewart to a minor league contract.

Pitching Staff:
SP1: Roy Halladay
SP2: A.J. Burnett
SP3: Dustin McGowan
SP4: Shaun Marcum
SP5: Jesse Litsch
CL: B.J. Ryan
SUM: Jeremy Accardo

Field:
DH: Frank Thomas
C: Gregg Zaun
1B: Lyle Overbay
2B: Aaron Hill
SS: David Ecksein
3B: Scott Rolen
LF: Reed Johnson
CF: Vernon Wells
RF: Alex Rios

Predictions:
Easiest- Scott Rolen and David Eckstein will combine for less than 250 games.
Boldest- A.J. Burnett will post an ERA over 5.00.
Team MVP- B.J. Ryan (35-50 sv. sub-2.75 ERA).
Best Season- Roy Halladay (12-16 wins, sub 3.75-ERA).
Best Hitter- Alex Rios (25-35 HR, 90-110 RBI).
Breakout Player- Brandon League (sub-3.00 ERA).

Tuesday, March 4, 2008

'08 RAPS: Baltimore Orioles

The Orioles have been a franchise in a state of flux for many years; however, Peter Angelos was actually willing to let GM Andy MacPhail unload two top names in Erik Bedard and Miguel Tejada. Plus, Angelos is also letting MacPhail shop Brian Roberts as well.

Here are MacPhail's off-season moves:

- Acquired outfielder Luke Scott, pitchers Troy Patton, Matt Albers and Dennis Sarfate and third baseman Mike Costanzo from the Houston Astros for shortstop Miguel Tejada
- Claimed pitcher Greg Aquino off waivers from the Milwaukee Brewers
- Signed pitcher Steve Trachsel to a minor league deal
- Traded pitcher Erik Bedard to the Baltimore Orioles for outfielder Adam Jones and pitchers George Sherrill, Chris Tillman, Kam Mickolio and Tony Butler.

SP1: Jeremy Guthrie
SP2-5: Fernando Cabrera/Adam Loewen/Steve Trachsel/Garret Olsen/Radhames Liz
CL: George Sherrill
SUM: Jaime Walker/Dennis Sarfate

DH: Aubrey Huff/Kevin Millar
C: Ramon Hernandez
1B: Kevin Millar/Aubrey Huff
2B: Brian Roberts/Freddie Bynum
SS: Luis Hernandez
3B: Melvin Mora
LF: Luke Scott/Jay Payton
CF: Adam Jones
RF: Nick Markakis

Predictions:
Easiest- The Orioles will finish dead last in the AL East
Boldest- The Orioles will lose over 100 games
Team MVP/Best Hitter- Nick Markakis (15-20 HRs, 80-90 RBIs, +.333 AVG)
Best Pitcher- Jeremy Guthrie (5-9 wins, 150-180 K's)
Breakout Player- Adam Jones (10-15 HRs, 20-30 SBs)

Monday, March 3, 2008

'08 RAPs: Tampa Bay Rays

After a dismal 66-93 2007 season, you'd usually expect a team to be pessimistic about the next year. This is not the case with the Rays. They have by far the best farm system in the game, and will be looking for contributions from the likes of Evan Longoria, Jeff Niemann, and quite possibly the first man ever taken in a televised MLB Rule 4 draft, David Price. The Rays have also picked up talent via free agency and the trade market this year:



  • Traded Delmon Young, Brendan Harris, and Jason Pridie to the Twins for Matt Garza and Jason Bartlett: While I still think the Twins won this deal, it will certainly help out the Rays.

  • Traded Jeff Ridgeway to Atlanta for Willy Aybar.

  • Signed Cliff Floyd to a one-year deal with an option for 2009.

  • Signed Troy Percival to a 2-year deal.

  • Signed pitcher Trever Miller to a one-year contract.

  • Signed utility man Eric Hinske to a one-year deal.


  • Quick Rundown:


    Cather: Dioner Navarro
    1B: Carlos Pena
    2B: Akinori Iwamura
    SS: Jason Bartlett
    3B: Evan Longoria
    LF: Carl Crawford
    CF: B.J. Upton
    RF: Cliff Floyd
    DH: Rocco Baldelli

    Rotation:


    SP1: Scott Kazmir
    SP2: Matt Garza
    SP3: James Shield
    SP4: Andy Sonnanstine/Edwin Jackson
    SP5: Jeff Niemann/Jason Hammel/David Price

    Stay Tuned: Tomorrow I will be covering the Orioles.


    Also, the reason this post may seem unorganized is I was having trouble with some of the tools, such as, centering, bullets, etc.

    Sunday, March 2, 2008

    '08 RAPs: AL East

    2007 was the year that the Boston Red Sox put an end to the Yankees' decade of dominance in the AL East. Not only did the Bosox win the division, they virtually dominated it most of the year:

    • On May 15th, the second place Yanks were 8 games back.
    • On May 20th, the Orioles and Yanks were in a tie for second, ten-and-a-half back of Boston.
    • On May 29th, the Yanks were a whopping 14.5 games behind the Sox. Second place Baltimore was 11.5 back as well.
    • By June 15th, the Yanks had gotten back into second, only eight games back.
    • The Yanks were 9.5 games out, in second, come the All Star Break.
    • By the Middle of August, Boston's lead was down to 5 games as the Yanks surged, and were in a battle with Seattle for the wild card.
    • On September 19th, the Yanks were within a game and a half following a 4 game winning streak, coupled with a 4 game skid for the Sox. Third place Toronto; however, was still 12.5 back.
    • The Sox clinched the division on September 28th, while the Yanks won the wild card.

    Here are the final standings for the 2007 AL Eastern Division:

    Red Sox: 96-66; 0 GB

    Yankees: 94-68; 2 GB

    Blue Jays: 83-79; 13GB

    Orioles: 69-93; 27 GB

    Devil Rays(Rays): 66-96; 30 GB



    Stay Tuned: Tommorow will be the Rays' RAP.

    Saturday, March 1, 2008

    '08 RAPs: Final NL East Rundowns and Predictions

    After covering the Mets, Phillies, Braves, Nationals, and Marlins this past week, it is finally time to make my final predictions. But first, let's break down the division by pitching and offense. By the way, I'm doing my best to not be biased against the Phillies in this post.

    Pitching:
    5. Marlins:
    With Josh Johnson still injured, Dontrelle Willis now gone, and no real help brought in, the Marlins are in horrible shape. Unless Scott Olsen finally reaches his potential, their rotaiton will be centered around Sergio Mitre and former first round pick, Andrew Miller.
    The bullpen is decent, even with the fact that Kevin Gregg is the closer. Then again, Gregg is the highest paid player on the Marlins at a hefty $2 million. I'm personally a big fan of former Mets prospect, Henry Owens, if he can stay healthy. Look for the pen to be about 12th or 13th in the NL.
    4. Nationals:
    Jim Bowden made tremendous strides with this franchise in the off-season. This rotation could be league average if John Patterson and/or Odalis Perez pitch to close to their full potential. I've liked Tyler Clippard ever since he beat John Maine in the Subway Series last year. He could, in my mind, win 10 games if he wins the fifth starter job in spring this year.
    Then there's the Nationals bullpen. The Nationals have two of the best NL relievers in Jon Rauch and Chad Cordero. Behind them they should have a returning Luis Ayala. Also they have above average relievers in Ryan Wagner and Saul Rivera to round out the pen.
    3. Phillies:
    The Phillies have a somewhat decent rotation. They have Cole Hamels and Brett Myers fronting the rotation, giving them an above average one-two punch. Then they have Takeru Kobayashi...err, I mean Kyle Kendrick (who was 'traded' for Kobayashi), who had a good year last season, but is anything but proven. In the fourth spot, there's 45 year-old Jaime Moyer,who at any time during the season could turn to dust and become part of the Citizen's Bank Park mound. The fifth spot belongs to Adam Eaton who could be the difference maker in whether the Phillies will have a top-ten rotation in the NL.
    The pen is the definition of questionable. The only two relievers who could be counted on are Ryan Madson and J.C. Romero (I'm being generous with Romero). With Lidge hurt and Gordon really old, the closer and set-up spot is taking a huge hit. The Phillies would've been better off keeping Myers in the pen and signing Kyle Lohse.
    2. Braves:
    The Braves have a solid rotation, headed by Tim Hudson and John Smoltz. Glavine will add some depth to this rotation. Remember, Glavine was considered by many to be the best pitcher in the Mets rotation last year. The real thing that could establish this as a great rotation would be the return of Mike Hampton to old form. If Hampton pitches well, the Braves could win the Wild Card.
    The Braves pen is, in my mind, not to be counted on. With Mike Gonzalez out, Rafeal Soriano will be the closer. Remember, the Mariners believed that Soriano was bad enough to trade him for Horacio Ramirez, so he could very well be horrible this year. Peter Moylan had a great year last year, but hard-throwers with a funky motion (i.e. Dontrelle Willis) usually get figured out by their division, and thus struggle.
    1. Mets:
    The Mets rotation is headed by two Cy-Young winners; one is the best pitcher in baseball, and the other is, apparently, in the best shape of his life. Those two are followed up by two of the most promising young pitchers in John Maine and Oliver Perez, who each won 15 games last year. While El Duque can't be counted on in the fifth spot, Mike Pelfrey showed us that he could be pretty good, at the end pf last year.
    The Mets pen is all-around solid and well rounded. However, if Duaner Sanchez returns to his 2006 form, the Mets will, without a doubt have the best bullpen in baseball.
    Offense:
    5. Nationals:
    The Nats have a very young team filled with a promising young outfield. However, unless Nick Johnson returns to his Yankee form, the Nats offense will probably be below average.
    4. Marlins:
    The Marlins offense is weak depth wise. However, with Hanley Ramirez and Dan Uggla at the top, it was hard to rank them worse than Washington. Plus, I believe Mike Jacobs could be a good hitter, possibly a 30-homer-a-year guy.
    3. Mets:
    The Mets offense is not as good as most think. Yes they have, in my mind, two of the top five players in baseball (Jose Reyes and Carlos Beltran), plus Silver Slugger winner, David Wright; however, with Delgado not the Carlos Delgado of old, there is no real stabilizing force at the bottom of the lineup.
    2. Phillies:
    The only reason the Phillies are ahead of the Mets is the fact that Pat Burrell is, right now, a better hitter than Carlos Delgado. I would never take Rollins/Howard/Utley over Reyes/Beltran/Wright even though I'd give Utley the edge over Wright.
    1. Braves
    This is a pick that I can see a lot of people disagreeing with. Even with Andruw Jones gone, the Braves lineup is very strong. Chipper and Teixeira give the Braves the strongest middle of the lineup, outside of Boston and Detroit. Also they're protected by Brian McCann. Jeff Francoer is a future star in my eyes; however, I don't see the same potential in Kelly Johnson or Yunel Escobar. Still, I like the depth in the Braves' lineup the most.

    Final Predictions:
    Standings:
    1. New York Mets (101-61)
    2. Philadelphia Phillies (88-74)
    3. Atlanta Braves (86-76)
    4. Washington Nationals (70-92)
    5. Florida Marlins (67-95)

    Awards:
    Division MVP: Carlos Beltran- Unlike Jimmy Rollins last year, Carlos Beltran will actually deserve to win the NL MVP this year. The more aggressive attitude Beltran has shown, if it transfers to the field, will lead to the best offensive season in Mets history. I was getting sick of Beltran's passive approach at the plate (remember the Wainright thing), I can't wait to see Beltran crushing homers on 3-0 counts.
    Runner Up: Duaner Sanchez

    Divisional CY-Young: Johan Santana- Who else? I still cannot wait for Santana to come over to the NL and dominate. While I believe that John Maine will also win 20 games, Santana winning 20 games is pretty much a lock.
    Runner Up: John Maine

    Tomorrow I will start the AL East RAPs.

    Friday, February 29, 2008

    '08 RAPs: New York Mets

    Following a year that ended in disaster, the Mets have turned the page as a franchise. The acquisition of Johan Santana have made the Mets a super-power for the next five years guaranteed. Despite not having a great off-season quantity wise, and starting off with some sub-par moves, Omar Minaya has had a quality winter that reastablished him as a top-notch GM.


    Here are Omar's moves:

    • Re-signed second baseman Luis Castillo, catcher Ramon Castro, and Damion Easley.
    • Acquired pitcher Brian Stokes from the Tampa Bay Rays for cash.
    • Acquired outfielder Ryan Church and catcher Brian Schneider from the Washington Nationals for outfielder Lastings Milledge.
    • Signed pitcher Matt Wise to a one-year contract.
    • Acquired outfielder Angel Pagan from the Chicago Cubs for pitcher Ryan Meyers and outfielder Corey Coles.
    • Signed outfielder Brady Clark, second baseman Jose Valentin, and pitcher Tony Armas Jr. to minor league contracts.
    • Acquired pitcher Johan Santana from the Minnesota Twins for outfielder Carlos Gomez and pitchers Philip Humber, Kevin Mulvey and Deolis Guerra and signed him to a six-year contract with a vesting option for 2014.
    • Signed infielder Olmedo Saenz to a one-year deal.

    Team Rundown:


    Pitching Staff:
    SP1:
    Johan Santana
    SP2: Pedro Martinez
    SP3: John Maine
    SP4: Oliver Perez
    SP5: Orlando "El Duque" Hernandez/Mike Pelfrey
    CL: Billy Wagner
    SUM: Aaron Heilman/Duaner Sanchez

    Field:
    C:
    Brian Schneider/Ramon Castro
    1B: Carlos Delgado
    2B: Luis Castillo
    SS: Jose Reyes
    3B: David Wright
    LF: Moises Alou/Endy Chavez
    CF: Carlos Beltran
    RF: Ryan Church/Endy Chavez

    Predictions:
    Easiest-
    The Mets will win the division.
    Boldest- John Maine and Johan Santana will both win 20 games.
    Team MVP- Duaner Sanchez (sub-2.00 ERA)
    Best Season- Johan Santana (20-23 wins, sub-2.50 ERA)
    Best Hitter- Carlos Beltran (40-50 HRs, 145-160 RBI, NL MVP)
    Breakout Player- John Maine (18-21 wins, 2.75-3.25 ERA)



    Stay Tuned: Tomorrow will be the final Rundown and Predictions for the 2008 NL Eastern Division!

    Thursday, February 28, 2008

    '08 RAPs: Philadelphia Phillies

    After a promising season in Philly, and a trip to the World Series last year, it all came to an end after a blast off the bat of Joe Carter, as the Blue Jays won their second straight World Series.

    Here's how the Phils shape up this year:

    Staff:
    1: Danny Jackson
    2: Bobby Munoz
    3: Shawn Boskie
    4: Curt Schilling
    5: Mike Williams
    CL: Doug Jones

    Field:
    C: Darren Daulton
    1B: John Kruk
    2B: Mickey Morandini
    SS: Kevin Stocker
    3B: Dave Hollins
    OF: Jim Eisenreich
    OF: Lenny Dykstra
    OF: Milt Thompson

    So you can see... What's that? Oh, it's not 1994. Then why are the Phillies' fans bragging about the playoffs? The last playoff game they won was in 1993, and they're bragging in 2008 about something with the playoffs. What kind of freaks are they?


    Anyway, here's the real Phillies '08 RAPs:


    After getting extremely lucky in 2008, the irrationally arrogant Phillies, and GM Pat Gillick, have been inexcusably irrelevant this off-season.


    Here are the moves they made this off-season:

    • Acquired pitcher Brad Lidge and infielder Eric Bruntlett from the Houston Astros for pitcher Geoff Geary, outfielder Michael Bourn and third baseman Mike Costanzo.
    • Acquired outfielder Chris Snelling from the Tampa Bay Devil Rays for cash.
    • Signed outfielder Geoff Jenkins to a two-year contract.
    • Signed pitcher Chad Durbin to a one-year contract.
    • Signed third baseman Pedro Feliz to a two-year contract with a club option for 2010.
    • Signed pitcher Kris Benson to a minor league contract.
    • Claimed infielder Ray Olmedo and pitcher Shane Youman off waivers from the Pittsburgh Pirates

    Here's the outlook:

    Pitching Staff:

    SP1: Cole Hamels
    SP2: Brett Myers
    SP3: Kyle Kendrick
    SP4: Jaime Moyer
    SP5: Adam Eaton
    CL: Brad Lidge
    SUM: Tom Gordon


    Field:

    C:
    Carlos Ruiz
    1B: Ryan Howard
    2B: Chase Utley
    SS: Jimmy Rollins
    3B: Pedro Feliz
    LF: Pat Burrell
    CF: Shane Victorino
    RF: Geoff Jenkins/Jason Werth

    Predictions:
    Easiest-
    The Phillies will finish in second in the division.
    Boldest- Ryan Howard will not hit more than 25 homers.
    Team MVP/Best Hitter- Chase Utley (20-25 HRs, 90-110 RBIs)
    Best Season- Cole Hamels (14-18 wins, sub-4.00 ERA)
    Breakout Player- NONE
    Stay Tuned: New York Mets Tomorrow! By the way, the reason I did the Phils before the Mets is because, as far as I'm concerned, if you get swept in the first round of the playoffs and haven't won a playoff game in 15 years, you're not allowed to be called a division champion.

    Wednesday, February 27, 2008

    '08 RAPs: Atlanta Braves

    It's not the best of times for Braves fans. Not only did they finish in third, making it back-to-back years without a division title, they lost long-time GM John Schuerholz. Shuerholz, along with an expert scouting team that included Royals' GM Dayton Moore, was the main reason for the Braves 15-year dynasty. Schuerholz was replaced by John Wren, a less than average GM.


    Here are Wren's moves as GM of the Braves:


    • Acquired pitcher Jeff Ridgway from the Tampa Bay Rays for infielders Willy Aybar and Chase Fontaine.
    • Acquired outfielder Mark Kotsay from the Oakland Athletics for pitchers Joey Devine and Jamie Richmond and cash.
    • Acquired pitcher Will Ohman and infielder Omar Infante from the Chicago Cubs for pitcher Jose Ascanio.
    • Signed pitcher Tom Glavine to a one-year contract.
    Here's the team rundown:

    Rotation:

    SP1: John Smoltz
    SP2: Tim Hudson
    SP3: Tom Glavine
    SP4: Chuck James (Middle of April)
    SP5: Mike Hampton/Jair Jurrjens/Jo-Jo Reyes
    CL: Rafeal Soriano
    SUM: Peter Moylan

    Field:
    C:
    Brian McCann
    1B: Mark Teixeira
    2B: Kelly Johnson
    SS: Yunel Escobar/Omar Infante
    3B: Larry "Chipper" Jones
    LF: Matt Diaz/Brandon Jones
    CF: Mark Kotsay
    RF: Jeff Francoer

    Predictions:
    Easiest-
    Mike Hampton will not start more than five games.
    Boldest- Peter Moylan/Rafeal Soriano will blow more than 25 saves combined this year.
    Team MVP- Larry Jones
    Best Season- Mark Teixeira (30-35 HRs, +100 RBIs)
    Best Pitcher- Tim Hudson (14-18 wins, sub 3.75 ERA)
    Breakout Player- Brandon Jones (8-12 HR's, +.300 AVG.)



    Stay Tuned: Tomorrow; Philly Steaks

    Tuesday, February 26, 2008

    '08 RAPs: Washington Nationals

    Thanks in large part to first-year manager, Manny Acta, the Nationals, a team picked to be historically bad by many, were a splendid surprise. General manager, Jim Bowden, has proven to me with his aggressive offseason that he is indeed an above average GM. He, much like Florida GM Larry Beinfest, spent the offseason building for his club's future in their new ballpark, Nationals Park, while bringing in veterans to help out the kids (and a special aid for Elijiah Dukes).
    Here's a list of Bowden's impressive offseason:
    • Acquired outfielder Lastings Milledge from the New York Mets in exchange for outfielder Ryan Church and catcher Brian Schneider.
    • Acquired outfielder Elijah Dukes from the Tampa Bay Rays for pitcher Glenn Gibson.
    • Acquired pitcher Tyler Clippard from the New York Yankees for pitcher Jonathan Albaladejo.
    • Signed infielder Aaron Boone to a one-year deal and his older brother, Brett (2B) to a minor league deal.
    • Signed catcher Paul LoDuca to a one-year deal.
    • Signed outfielders Rob Mackowiak and Willie Harris to one-year contracts.
    • Signed catcher Johnny Estrada to a one-year deal.
    • Signed pitcher Odalis Perez to a one-year deal.
    Rotation:
    SP1: Shawn Hill
    SP2: John Patterson
    SP3: Jason Bergmann
    SP4/5: Matt Chico/Odalis Perez/Tyler Clippard/John Lannan
    CL: Chad Cordero
    SUM: Jon Rauch

    Field:
    C:
    Paul LoDuca/Johnny Estrada/Jesus Flores
    1B: Nick Johnson/Dmitri Young
    2B: Ronnie Belliard
    SS: Christian Guzman/Felipe Lopez
    3B: Ryan Zimmerman
    LF: Wily Mo Pena/Elijiah Dukes/Dmitri Young
    CF: Lastings Milledge/Austin Kearns/Elijiah Dukes/Willie Harris
    RF: Austin Kearns/Elijiah Dukes/Dmitri Young

    Predictions:
    Easiest-
    The Nats will finish in fourth place.
    Boldest- Lastings Milledge will hit 20-30 HR's and drive in 75-85 RBIs.
    Team MVP- Chad Cordero (25 saves/traded at deadline)
    Best Season- Lastings Milledge (20-30HRs, 75-85 RBIs, 25-30 SBs)
    Best Pitcher- Shawn Hill (8-10 wins, sub-4 ERA)
    Breakout Player- Tyler Clippard (5-7 wins, sub 4.25 ERA)

    Monday, February 25, 2008

    '08 RAPs: Florida Marlins

    After a strong showing in 2006, the Marlins fired manager Joe Girardi and hired Fredi Gonzalez. This move, coupled with injuries to the Marlins top young pitchers, led to a last place, 2007 season in which the Marlins only achievement was knocking off the Mets on the last day of the season. General manager, Larry Beinfest has spent the offseason bringing in veterans to aid in the growth of the young players while also stockpiling young players (mainly from the Cabrera/Willis deal) who will be the faces of the franchise heading into their new stadium.

    Here's a list of Beinfest's moves:
    • Signed Luis Gonzalez to a one-year deal.
    • Signed Mark Hendrickson to a one-year deal.
    • Signed Dallas McPherson to a one-year deal.
    • Trade pitcher Dontrelle Willis and third baseman Miguel Cabrera to Detroit for outfielder Cameron Maybin, catcher Mike Rabelo and pitchers Andrew Miller, Burke Badenhop, Eulogio De La Cruz and Dallas Trahern.
    Here's the roster rundown:

    Pitching Staff:
    SP1: Sergio Mitre
    SP2: Scott Olsen
    SP3: Andrew Miller
    SP4: Mark Hendrickson
    SP5: Ricky Nolasco/Rick Vanden Hurk
    CL: Kevin Gregg
    SUM: Justin Miller/Henry Owens/Matt Lindstrom

    C:
    Matt Treanor/Mike Rabelo
    1B: Mike Jacobs
    2B: Dan Uggla
    SS: Hanley Ramirez
    3B: Dallas McPherson/Jorge Cantu/Jose Castillo/Alfredo Amezaga
    LF: Josh Willingham/Luis Gonzalez
    CF: Cameron Maybin/Alejandro De Aza/Cody Ross
    RF: Jeremy Hermida/Brett Carroll

    Predictions:
    Easiest-
    The Marlins will have a worse record than last year.
    Boldest- The Marlins will finish at least 30 games back of first.
    Team MVP/Best Season- Hanley Ramirez (28-32 HRs, 85-90 RBIs, 20 SBs, 100-115 RS)
    Best Pitcher/Breakout Player- Andrew Miller (7-9 Wins, sub-4 ERA)

    Stay Tuned: Nationals Rundown and Predictions Tomorrow afternoon!

    Sunday, February 24, 2008

    '08 RAPs: NL East

    We all know how the NL East ended in 2007. It was the single most shocking week in baseball history. The Philadelphia Cheese-Steaks proved that the best team doesn't always win. They also proved that luck is a vital aspect of professional sports. Well, anyway, here's the rundown:

    On May 1st, the Braves were a half game ahead of the Mets, while the 4th place Steaks were 3 back.
    On June 1st, the Mets were in first, 3.5 ahead of Atlanta and 8.5 ahead of Philly.
    On July 1st, third place Philly was back in the race, 5 back of the Mets, and one back of second place Atlanta.
    At the break, Atlanta was only 2 back, while Philly was still 4.5 back.
    About a week later I made a bet of $20 that the Mets would win the division... oops!
    On August 1st, the Braves were 3.5 back and the Phils were 4 back.

    Here it is: The Month of September
    On September 1st, the second place Phils were 3 back; Atlanta, at 6.5 back were pretty much dead.
    On the fifth, Philly was 5 back; seemingly, out of the race.
    On the 10th Philly was 6 back; still, out of the race.
    On the 15th, the Phils were back within 4.5; yet, nobody was worrying.
    On the 20th, Philly got back within 1.5 games.
    On the 23rd the Phils were back 2.5. Whew... that was close!
    On the 26th they were a game back. Good thing there's only 4 games left... Right?
    September 27th: OH MY GOD!!! They tied it up! That's not good.
    28th: What the Hell!? The Steaks take a one game lead.
    29th: Johnny Maine to the rescue. No hitter into the eighth, 14K's. Just for those of you who don't think this kid's an ace, here are his numbers in the two must win games he ever pitched in (2006 NLCS game 6 and the game on the second to last day of the '07 season):
    13.1IP 3H 19Ks, NO RUNS!!!

    Anyway, the day all you have been waiting for:
    September 30th, 2007: Tom Glavine takes the hill in the biggest game of his life. He fires 8 shutout innings, Billy Wagner comes in and strikes out Miguel Cabrera in his last at bat as a Marlin. After the game, the Mets watch as Brett Myers blows a 5 run lead in the ninth to the Nationals. And there you have it, the Mets are the 2007 NL East Champs!!!

    What? 7 Run 1st? Impossible... Tom Terrific was on the mound... Seriously??? The Phillies couldn't of won. I just looked it up, they haven't won a playoff game in over a decade! Liars!

    Oh, I remember now. Glavine sucks! Well, we're just about out of time.

    Anyway, here's the 2007 NL East Standings:

    Phillies: 89-73 0GB
    Mets: 88-74 1GB
    Braves: 84-78 5GB
    Nationals: 73-89 16GB
    Marlins: 71-91 18GB

    Saturday, February 23, 2008

    '08 RAPs: AL Central Final Rundown and Predictions

    The time has come to finally make my predictions for the 2008 AL Central Division. During the past week I've covered the Royals, White Sox, Twins, Tigers, and Indians offseason moves, team outlook, and made my predictions about each. So, before I make my final predictions as to the outcome of the division, I'll first break down the division by offense and pitching.
    Pitching:
    5. Minnesota Twins:
    The loss of Santana clearly hurts. The only thing that can save the Twins is if Liriano returns and dominates. Livan Hernandez, who's got to be like 50, is their #2 starter, after a mediocre year in the NL. I can see his ERA reaching the 7.00 marker with ease.
    I do love the Twin's pen though. Neshek and Nathan are two of my favorite relievers in the game. However, Billy Smith cannot possibly hold onto Nathan all year.
    4. Cleveland Indians:
    I can hear you all laughing at the Indians being ranked fourth, but trust me on this one. If Joe Borowski posts an ERA under 5.00 this season, I'll be shocked. Whoever believes that a team with Joe Borowski as their closer can reach the playoffs in back-to-back years is crazy. Sure, Rafeal Betancourt, who was recently granted an extension, is talented enough to take over the closer's role if need be, but then Cleveland's middle relief would take a horrible blow.
    As for the rotation, I'll give you that C.C. Sabathia is a great pitcher. I'll give you that Paul Byrd and Jake Westbrook are more-than-capable veterans. But, I will not give you that Fausto Carmona is anywhere near as good as he performed last season. If he proves me wrong, then he proves me wrong, but every time I think of him I see him blowing games a couple of years ago as the closer for the Tribe. Also, who knows how Paul Byrd will do after the HGH revelations he suffered through, or how Sabathia will do with his mind on his next contract.
    3. Chicago White Sox:
    They have a great back end of the pen in Jenks and Dotel. However, neither one of those two is a sure thing. While the back end of their rotation is very weak, Buehrle and Vazquez are two of the most reliable and consistent starters in the game. If Contreras returns to his old form, this team could have a solid pitching staff.
    2. Detroit Tigers:
    The Tigers weak pen is the only thing keeping them out of first in this category. I have serious doubts that Todd Jones holds onto the closer's role for more than a couple of months, if that. And if Fernando Rodney has to close for the Tigers, they're in serious trouble!
    That being said, Detroit's rotation isn't dominant by any means. Who knows what they'll get from Willis, Rogers, Robertson, or even Bonderman (Who, I'll admit, I don't believe to be anything more than an overrated 4th starter). The only sure thing is Justin Verlander, who I'll admit I had my doubts about; however, I believe he is the AL's best regular season pitcher.
    1. Kansas City Royals:
    Now before you start calling me crazy, hear me out. The two teams considered to be the powerhouses of the league (Detroit and Cleveland), have Joe Borowski and Todd Jones as their closers. Whereas, although he's not as proven as Joe Nathan or Bobby Jenks, Joakim Soria is more youthful than Nathan; and, in my opinion, more talented than Jenks. Their acquisition of Yasuhiko Yabuta is perhaps the most underrated move of the entire offseason. Japanese relievers have had tremendous success (Okajima, Otsuka, ect.) in the States recently. Combine that with the fact that Yabuta will not take as much time to adjust as Okajima since Trey Hillman is an accomplished Japanese manager and I'm confident Yabuta will post an ERA well under 2.00 this season. Yabuta as well as recently signed, veteran lefty, Ron Mahay, as well as the other young, talented arms in the KC pen gives KC the best pen.
    As for rotation, sure the Royals lack a true "ace" and are filled with unproven talent I believe they have the second deepest rotation from top to bottom. Leo Nunez, considering he is the #5 guy, is better than every fifth starter in that division other than Robertson. Also, I'm one of the few that thought Gil Meche was going to succeed last year (I thought he'd win 14-16 games), so I am optimistic that not only will he repeat, he'll do even better than last season!

    Offense:
    5. Twins:
    I feel very sorry for Mauer and Morneau. The only way the Twins can come close to having an average offense is if Carlos Gomez and Delmon Young have monster seasons. I can see Gomez stealing a bunch of bases, but not much more this season. I don't trust Delmon Young as a person. He's no longer the center of attention like in Tampa. I can see him imploding because of the fact that Morneau and Mauer are going to steal his thunder. Of course he can combat that by having a monstrous year.
    4. Royals:
    Question marks and potential. That's the theme of the Royals offense. The question marks include Jose Guillen who Dayton Moore over-spent on. If Guillen can have a good year, the Royals' offense won't be terrible.
    There is a ton of potential in the likes of Alex Gordon, Billy Butler, Mark Teahen, John Buck, Joey Gathright, and Alberto Callaspo. All of those players are capable of having an All-Star type year this year. Also, all of them are extremely capable of hitting under .250 and striking out 200 times, you never know.
    3. Indians:
    The only real stars in this squad are Travis Hafner, Grady Sizemore, and Victor Martinez. Behind that, their probably won't be much production. Casey Blake and Jhonny Peralta will probably have average to slightly above average seasons. Other than that, there's pretty much nothing.
    2. White Sox:
    The additions of Nick Swisher and Orlando Cabrera make this a highly formidable lineup. They still have their potent old bats in Jim Thome, Paul Konerko, and Jermaine Dye, and now they have youth in the likes of Danny Richar, Josh Fields, Carlos Quentin, Alexei Ramirez, and Jerry Owens. Sox fans should be proud of Ken Williams for creating this potentially dominating mix.
    1. Tigers:
    What can I say? Just look at this for a second:
    1. Curtis Granderson
    2. Placido Polanco
    3. Miguel Cabrera
    4. Magglio Ordonez
    5. Edgar Renteria
    6. Carlos Guillen
    7. Gary Sheffield
    8. Pudge Rodriguez
    9. Jaque Jones
    That is better than some of the past few All-Star lineups. It's just indescribable, unstoppable, unfair, and unmatched. Imagine, Miguel Cabrera, out of Dolphin Stadium, now in Detroit, with Magglio Ordonez hitting behind him instead of Mike Jacobs. Is 73 HRs out of the question? I mean, he'll get at least 50 easily. This could be the greatest lineup of all time!

    Final Predictions:

    Now for the final prediction. Let me guess, you're expecting Detroit, Cleveland, Chicago, Minnesota, KC. If that's what you're expecting don't bother sitting down (although you're probably already sitting down since you're at a computer) cause you'll just stand up when you see this. Just know; honestly, this is NOT a joke.

    Final Standings:
    1. Kansas City Royals; 89-73
    2. Detroit Tigers; 89-73
    3. White Sox; 84-78
    4. Indians; 75-87
    5. Twins; 67-95

    That's right! Remember that you heard it here, at C-Goud's Ultimate Baseball, first! The KC Royals will win the AL Central in 2008. Notice the fact that Detroit and KC have the same record. I believe that the Tigers are strong enough to over-power the league... except for the Royals. Trey Hillman is a smart guy who wants to win. He'll use his strong bullpen to beat Tigers no matter how many arms he has to use. I can see the Royals beating Detroi 15 times this year!
    Honestly, before the Cabrera/Willis deal I was much more confident about this than I am now. The Royals are a weak team offensively and filled with question marks elsewhere. However, I will not back down from this prediction, even if the Royals lose their first ten games this year! I just have a feeling that the KC Kiddies will use their youthfulness to shock the world! (Or it could just be a manner of my Greek pride getting the best of me.)

    Awards Prediction:
    Division MVP: Yasuhiko Yabuta - Since I picked the Royals to win the division, I had to pick a Royal as the league MVP. Also, I do believe Yabuta will have the greatest effect on the outcome of the division. I can see him coming in and disposing of Cabrera, Maggs, and Renteria 1,2,3 several times in key games this year. Runner Up: Miguel Cabrera
    Divisional CY-Young: Justin Verlander - With the offensive production he is going to get this year, he could lead the league in wins. Do I hear 23 wins anybody? Runner Up: Mark Buehrle (if Sabathia is traded)

    Stay Tuned: Tommorow I will start the NL East RAPs!

    Friday, February 22, 2008

    '08 RAPs: Cleveland Indians

    Last year the Indians won the tough AL Central Division and knocked off the Yankees in the ALDS. That has seemingly given them a sense of security going into 2008 that has kept them from being overly active this offseason.


    Here are the Indians' offseason moves:

    Signed pitcher Masahide Kobayashi to a two-year contract with a club option for 2010. Acquired infielder Jamey Carroll from the Colorado Rockies for a player to be named.
    Signed pitchers Brendan Donnelly, Jorge Julio, and Scott Elarton to minor league contracts.
    Exercised the 2008 contract options on pitchers Joe Borowski, Paul Byrd and Aaron Fultz.

    Here's the team outlook:

    Pitching Staff:
    SP1: C.C. Sabathia
    SP2: Fausto Carmona
    SP3: Paul Byrd
    SP4: Jake Westbrook
    SP5: Aaron Laffey
    CL: Joe Borowski
    SUM: Rafeal Betancourt

    Field:
    DH: Travis Hafner
    C: Victor Martinez
    1B: Ryan Garko
    2B: Asdrubal Cabrera/ Jamey Carroll
    SS: Jhonny Peralta
    3B: Casey Blake
    LF: Davi Dellucci/Jason Micheals/Franklin Gutierrez
    CF: Grady Sizemore
    RF: Franklin Gutierrez/Jason Micheals

    Predictions:
    Easiest- The Indians will not win the division again.
    Boldest- Fausto Carmona will post an ERA above 4.50, possibly above 5.50.
    Team MVP/Best Hitter- Grady Sizemore

    Best Season- C.C. Sabathia (8-11 wins, sub 3.25 ERA; traded around the deadline)
    Breakout Player- Adam Miller (5-6 wins, sub 2.50 ERA in August and September)

    Thursday, February 21, 2008

    '08 RAPs: Detroit Tigers

    The reigning AL Champion, Tigers failed to make the playoffs in 2007, falling short of the Wild Card. However, GM Dave Dombrowski was busy this offseason. Many believe that he put together the greatest team in baseball with the acquisitions of players such as Miguel Cabrera and Edgar Renteria.

    Here are the Tigers' offseason moves:
    • Acquired SS Edgar Renteria from the Atlanta Braves for pitcher Jair Jurrjens and OF Gorkys Hernandez.
    • Acquired pitcher Denny Bautista from the Colorado Rockies for pitcher Jose Capellan.
    • Acquired pitcher Dontrelle Willis and 3B Miguel Cabrera from the Florida Marlins for OFCameron Maybin, C Mike Rabelo, and pitchers Andrew Miller, Burke Badenhop, Eulogio De La Cruz and Dallas Trahern.
    • Resigned pitchers Kenny Rogers and Todd Jones.

    So, here's the team outlook:

    Pitching Staff:
    SP1: Justin Verlander
    SP2: Kenny Rogers
    SP3: Dontrelle Willis
    SP4: Jeremy Bonderman
    SP5: Nate Robertson
    CL: Todd Jones
    SUM: Fernando Rodney

    Field:
    DH: Gary Shefield
    C: Ivan Rodriguez
    1B: Carlos Guillen
    2B: Placido Polanco
    SS: Edgar Renteria
    3B: Miguel Cabrera
    LF: Jaque Jones/Marcue Thames/Brandon Inge
    CF: Curtis Granderson
    RF: Magglio Ordonez

    Predictions:
    Easiest-
    The Tigers will make the playoffs.
    Boldest- The Royals will win the season series against Detroit.
    Team MVP/Best Season- Miguel Cabrera (50 HR, 130 RBI)
    Best Pitcher- Justin Verlander (17-20 wins, sub 3.50 ERA)
    Breakout Player- Dontrelle Willis (12-15 wins, sub 4.25 ERA)

    Stay Tuned: Indians Tommorow; Final AL Central Predictions Saturday!

    Wednesday, February 20, 2008

    '08 RAPs: Minnesota Twins

    The Twins weren't able to pull off one of their typical come-from-behind runs in 2007. This led to the subtraction of Luis Castillo, Tori Hunter, Matt Garza and of course, Johan Santana from their team. Not only did the Twins lose this solid group of players, they also lost a great general manager in Terry Ryan. Ryan was replaced by Billy Smith, who isn't exactly a fan favorite after the Johan debacle.
    Here are Smith's offseason moves:
    • Traded pitcher, Johan Santana to the New York Mets for OF Carlos Gomez, and pitchers Kevin Mulvey, Deolis Guerra, and Phil Humber.
    • Acquired outfielder Craig Monroe from the Chicago Cubs for a player to be named.
    • Acquired OFs Delmon Young and Jason Pridie and IF Brendan Harris from the Tampa Bay Rays for SS Jason Bartlett and pitchers Matt Garza and Eduardo Morlan.
    • Agreed to terms with first baseman Justin Morneau on a six-year contract and outfielder Michael Cuddyer on a three-year contract.
    • Signed pitcher Livan Hernandez to a one-year contract.

    With those moves, here's the team outlook:

    Pitching Staff:
    SP1: Francisco Liriano
    SP2: Livan Hernandez
    SP3: Boof Bonser
    SP4: Scott Baker
    SP5: Kevin Slowey
    CL: Joe Nathan
    SUM: Pat Neshek/ Juan Rincon

    Position Players:
    DH: Jason Kubel/Craig Monroe
    C: Joe Mauer
    1B: Justin Morneau
    2B: Alexi Castilla/Nick Punto/Brendon Harris
    SS: Nick Punto/Adam Everett
    3B: Mike Lamb
    LF: Delmon Young
    CF: Carlos Gomez
    RF: Micheal Cuddyer

    Predictions:
    Easiest: Liriano will return at top form.
    Boldest: Delmon Young will be a problem and get traded at the deadline.
    Team MVP/Best Season: Justin Morneau (30-40 HR, 100-115 RBI)
    Best Pitcher: Joe Nathan (15 saves, sub 3 ERA; Traded mid-season)
    Breakout Player: Carlos Gomez (10-15 HR, +100 RS, 25-35 SB, .285-.295 AVG.)

    Stay Tuned: Tommorow I'll be covering the Detroit Tigers

    Tuesday, February 19, 2008

    '08 RAPs: Chicago White Sox

    The Sox had a very difficult 2007 season. I, myself, picked them to win the Central last year, only to see them finish only three games ahead of the last place Royals. However, Kenny Williams has tries, somewhat, to better his team for 2008.
    Here's a list of some of his offseason moves:
    • Acquired SS Orlando Cabrera for pitcher Jon Garland.
    • Acquired OF Carlos Quentin for 1B Chris Carter.
    • Signed pither Octavio Dotel to a 2-year deal.
    • Signed Cuban OF Alexei Ramirez to a 4-year deal.
    Here's the team outlook for '08 so far:
    Rotation and Pen:
    SP1: Mark Buehrle
    SP2: Javier Vazquez
    SP3: Jose Contreras
    SP4: Johnny Danks
    SP5: Gavin Floyd
    CL: Bobby Jenks
    SUM: Octavio Dotel
    Here's the position breakdown:
    DH: Jim Thome
    C: AJ Pierzynski
    1B: Paul Konerko
    2B: Juan Uribe/Danny Richar
    SS: Orlando Cabrera
    3B: Joe Crede/Josh Fields
    LF: Carlos Quentin/Alexei Ramirez/Jerry Owens
    CF: Nick Swisher
    RF: Jermaine Dye
    Predictions:
    Easiest: The Sox will be worse than last year
    Boldest: The Sox will finish dead last and Ozzie Guillen will be fired
    Team MVP: Nick Swisher
    Best Season: Nick Swisher (+30 HR, 90-110 RBI)
    Best Pitcher: Mark Buehrle (12-14 wins, sub-4 ERA)
    Breakout Player: Alexei Ramirez (75 games, 10-12 HR, 40-50 RBI, .280 AVG)

    Monday, February 18, 2008

    '08 RAPs: Kansas City Royals

    Over the last year-and-a-half, the Kansas City Royals, led by Super-GM Dayton Moore, have made tremendous strides. Despite finishing last in the AL Central last season, the Royals have tons to look foward to this year. Most importantly is their importing of manager Trey Hillman fron Japan.

    However, here are some other moves they've made this offseason:
    • Signed pitcher, Yasuhiko Yabuta to a two-year contract.
    • Signed right-fielder, Jose Guillen to a three-year contract.
    • Acquired infielder Alberto Callaspo from the Arizona Diamondbacks for pitcher Billy Buckner.
    • Signed reliever, Ron Mahay to a two-year contract.
    • Signed catcher Miguel Olivo to a one-year contract.
    • Signed pitchers Hideo Nomo and Chin-Hui Tsao to minor league contracts.
    • Signed pitcher Brett Tomko to a one-year contract.

    With those moves, here's how the team outline looks for 2008:

    Rotation: SP1: Gil Meche; SP2: Brian Bannister; SP3: Zack Grienke; SP4/5: Leo Nunez/Brett Tomko/Kyle Davies Bullpen: Closer: Joakim Soria; Set-Up: Yasuhiko Yabuta Field: DH: Jose Guillen/Billy Butler/Ryan Shealy; C: John Buck; 1B: Billy Butler/Ross Gload; 2B: Mark Grudzielanek/Callaspo; SS: Tony Pena Jr.; 3B: Alex Gordon; LF: Jose Guillen/Joey Gathright; CF: David DeJesus; RF: Mark Teahen

    Predictions: Easiest: The Royals bullpen will be the best in the Central. Boldest: The Royals will win the division. Team MVP: Yasuhiko Yabuta Best Season: Zack Grienke (12-16 wins) Best Offensive Season: Mark Teahen (20-30 HRs; 85-95 RBIs) Breakout Player: Alex Gordon (15-25 HRs; .300 AVG.; 20-30 SBs)

    Stay Tuned: Tommorow I will be covering the White Sox

    Sunday, February 17, 2008

    '08 RAPs: AL Central

    The general consensus is that this was the best division in baseball in 2007. Throughout 2007, the Tigers and Indians battled it out for the division, as well as the Wild Card. While they were at the top of the pack the whole year, the White Sox and Twins significantly underachieved. The Royals were the same as they've been for a long time; out of the race completely. Here's a rundown based on certain checkpoints throughout the season:

    On May first, the Indians were in first place 1.5 games ahead of Detroit and Minnesota, who were tied for second. The White Sox were 3.5 back, and the Royals were already 9 games out.
    By June first, the Indians had secured themselves some breathing room. They had a 4.5 game lead over second place Detroit. The Twins were 6 back and the Sox were 7.5 back. The Royals were out of the race, 15 behind Cleveland.
    On July first, Detroit had moved back within 1.5 games of the Tribe. Chicago joined the Royals in the "out of the race" group. Minnesota was still hanging in there, 6.5 out.
    At the All-Star break, Detroit had moved into first place, a game ahead of the Indians. The Twins were pretty much dead at 8 games back, but refused to start selling because of their tendency to go on a strong second half run.
    Come August first, the Tigers were still 1 game up on second place Cleveland.
    However, August was a rough month for the Detroit Tigers. They lost 6.5 games in the standings, and were 5,5 back on September first.
    The Indians clinched the division on September 23, as the Tigers went on to lose the Wild Card to the New York Yankees.

    Stay tuned: Tomorrow I will be covering the 2008 Kansas City Royals.
    Here are the final Standings for the 2007 AL Central Division:
    1. Indians: 96-66, 0 GB
    2. Tigers: 88-74, 8 GB
    3. Twins: 79-83, 17 GB
    4. Chi-Sox: 72-90, 24 GB
    5. Royals: 69-93, 27 GB

    Tuesday, February 12, 2008

    08 RAPs: Coming Sunday!

    With the hot stove season down to just Kyle Lohse and Joe Blanton, it is just about time to unveil the first annual edition of C-Gouds' RAPs. So, Sunday morning I'll be posting the review of last year's AL Central, seeing as that division seems rapped up for the year.

    Saturday, February 2, 2008

    Poll Post: Did the Mets Need Santana?

    The Mets just landed the greatest pitcher in baseball at the mere cost of 4 above average prospects and well over 100 million dollars. However, although I'm excited that they pretty much have the NL Championship locked up, was it 100% necessary?

    Without Johan the Rotation would've been as follows:
    1. Pedro Martinez
    2. John Maine
    3. Oliver Perez
    4. Orlando Hernandez
    5. Mike Pelfrey/Jorge Sosa/Kevin Mulvey/Phil Humber

    To me that looks like a formiddable rotaion. Here's how I believe that would've worked out over the course of the season:
    1. Pedro: 14-7 172 IP 3.75 ERA
    2. Maine: 20-9 211 IP 2.99 ERA (Cy Young Award)
    3. Perez: 17-11 195 IP 3.50 ERA
    4. El Duque: 11-5 130 IP 3.25 ERA
    5. Fifth Spot: 8-12 165 IP 5.25 ERA
    While Maine might be somewhat of a stretch, I truly believe he'll win 20 games and top 200 innings this season. If all goes as stated above, the only weak points would be finding some one to replace El Duque half way through the year and the fith spot. Both holes could have been filled by signing a Kyle Lohse or Livan Hernandezto bolster the rotation.

    So, while the Mets now have one of the top three rotations in baseball, one has to wonder, did we need such a dramatic upgrade?



    P.S. Poll is on the sidebar

    Tuesday, January 29, 2008

    SANTANA TO METS!!!

    LINK HERE!
    Pending a physical and contract extension, Johan Santana, the greatest pitcher in baseball, is about to join the New York Metropolitans. The deal, according to USA Today's Bob Nightengale, is for Carlos Gomez, Deolis Guerra, Phil Humber, and Kevin Mulvey.

    Here's a look at the Mets '08 rotation:
    1. Johan Santana
    2. John Maine
    3. Pedro Martinez
    4. Oliver Perez
    5. Orlando "El Duque" Hernandez

    That is by far the best NL rotation right now (and possibly the best in the Majors).
    This just in as well, the Mets are the 2008 NL Eastern Division Champions!

    Great deal Omar! You've earned all our respect again. Now get a deal done for 6 years 140MM with a 20MM mutual option for a seventh year.

    Wednesday, January 23, 2008

    '08 RAPs (Rundowns and Predictions): Preview

    I've been working on my '08 Rundowns and predictions all week. I can't finish until the hot stove season ends. So don't expect to see them until after Kyle Lohse and Corey Patterson are signed and the Santana thing is over. However, here's a preview for the Tampa Bay Rays:

    After a dismal 66-93 2007 season, you'd usually expect a team to be pessimistic about the next year. This is not the case with the Rays. They have by far the best farm system in the game, and will be looking for contributions from the likes of Evan Longoria, Jeff Niemann, and quite possibly the first man ever taken in a televised MLB Rule 4 draft, David Price.
    The Rays have also picked up talent via free agency and the trade market this year:
    Traded Delmon Young, Brendan Harris, and Jason Pridie to the Twins for Matt Garza and Jason Bartlett: While I still think the Twins won this deal, it will certainly help out the Rays. Garza gives them a very formidable rotation for the first time in club history.
    Traded Jeff Ridgeway to Atlanta for Willy Aybar.
    Signed Cliff Floyd to a one year deal with an option for 2009.
    Signed Troy Percival to a 2 year deal.

    Clearly the Rays will be a much better team in '08. In fact, they will, quite possibly... brace yourselves... be over .500 this year. Does that mean a 3rd place finish?

    Quick Rundown: Catcher: Dioner Navarro; 1B: Carlos Pena; 2B: Akinori Iwamura; SS: Jason Bartlett; 3B: Evan Longoria; LF: Carl Crawford; CF: B.J. Upton; RF: Cliff Floyd; DH: Rocco Baldelli (for about 2 games)
    Rotation: SP1: Scott Kazmir; SP2: Matt Garza, SP3: James Shield; SP4: Andy Sonnanstine/Edwin Jackson; SP5: Jeff Niemann/Jason Hammel/David Price

    Friday, January 18, 2008

    Weekly 2008 Run-Downs and Predictions: COMING SOON!!!

    Just as a heads up, starting next month, I will be posting my predictions for the upcoming season. Here's how this will go:
    1. Monday: I will post about what happened last year in the division that I will be covering during the week.
    2. Tuesday: I will discuss the moves made by the last place team (and the 5th place team in the NL Central) and whether the team(s) will improve in the upcoming year or not.
    3. Wednesday: I will discuss the fourth place teams offseason moves (Not in the AL West; that will be covered on Tuesday) and whether they'll improve or not.
    4. Thursday: I will discuss the 3rd place teams offseason and whether or not they'll improve.
    5. Friday: I will discuss the runner-up in the division's hot stove season and whether or not they will have a better year.
    6. Saturday: Finally, I'll discuss the winner of the division's offseason and whether they will get worse or not.
    7. Sunday: I'll have my final prediction for the division, including win/loss records and Division MVP!

    So keep your eyes peeled. These posts should be out around mid February!

    Saturday, January 12, 2008

    Prospect Perspective: Fernando Martinez

    Well, since there has been a lot of talk recently about Fernando Martinez being sent to Minnesota in a deal for Johan Santana, I've decided to add him to my list of "Prospect Perspective" posts.

    Value: Fernando's value may have taken a bit of a hit following his .265 Average between A and AA ball. However, it's very hard to say that an average season could hinder the value of a 19-year-old outfielder who has the tools to someday become a great outfielder. Any player being discussed as the centerpiece in a trade for the greatest pitcher in baseball, before their twentieth birthday, has to have tremendous value. Overall Value: A

    Ability: Fernando may only be 19, but he has the pitch recognition and strike zone awareness of a ten year veteran. His major flaw; however, is his tendency to press whenever he goes into a slump; but, this is common among young players and should not take anything away from the way he is perceived as a stud prospect. He hits well to all fields, which some scouts projections say, will lead to him having home run power to all fields once his body fills out. Also Martinez struggles up against strong left-handed pitching. Unlike Carlos Gomez, the man F-mart is so wrongly compared to, Fernando isn't all that great defensively. He'll get bad reads on balls periodically, causing him to take peculiar routes after making questionable first steps. Scouts also believe he'll possibly lose some of his above-average speed as he continues to grow. These flaws in his defense lead most to believe he'll end up as an average corner outfielder defensively. Overall Ability: B+

    Future: There's hardly any doubt that Martinez has a future in the majors. The real question is what kind of major league career will he have. It is very hard to determine the future of a 19-year-old who hasn't seen the Majors. But, I'll try to anyway. I see F-Mart as an above-average, everyday player. He'll mostly have years of 20-25 HR's, 80-90 RBI's, 280-310 AVG., 350-380 OBP. That's a pretty solid line, though not as dominate as some ignorant Met fans perceive. Bottom line, he isn't the centerpiece the Twins are looking for; but, is he close enough? Overall Future: A


    Overall Prospect Rating: A, F-Mart is a true "prospect." He'll either pan out or he won't. While he is still young, that doesn't guarantee he'll improve a lot. However, I have little doubt he'll be a major presence on a big league club someday; whether that's for the Mets, Twins, or someone else, that is yet to be determined.

    For "Prospect Perspective" posts on Phil Hughes, Lastings Milledge, and Joba Chamberlain, scroll down the page!

    Thursday, January 10, 2008

    Poll: NL East's Best Pen

    As you might notice I have put up a second poll on the sidebar. This was inspired by a somewhat heated conversation over at Mlbtraderumors.com. Here are some statements that were made:
    1. Me: "Mets bullpen VS Braves pen: Wagner >>> Soriano; Sanchez > Gonzalaz; Heilman >> Moylan; Joe Smith > Manny Acosta; My five year old neighbor > Joey Devine How can you possibly say the braves have a better pen. That's like saying Glavine is a better number three starter than Oliver Perez..."
    2. Andy Braves Fan: "...Braves have 2 proven closers with Soriano and Mike Gonzalez (should be back in June). Joey Devine has been a top closing prospect, Manny Acosta, etc. Please, know what you are talking about before you rant. The Braves bullpen was so strong that they traded 1/4 of it for other needs."
    3. Dee Edge: "...[The Braves] still need bullpen help the only have one soold guy in tha pen soriano and he faded last yr too." (Translation: Soriano is the only solid pitcher in the Braves pen and even he faded at the end of the year)

    So I'll let you decide! Make sure to vote soon! This poll expires on the 27th.

    Sunday, January 6, 2008

    Poll Post: Theo Epstein

    Well as you can see, Theo Epstein managed to edge out Dayton Moore in the best GM poll. Obviously, this was due to not only his great list of transactions, but his two rings as well.

    Who was the best general manager from 2006 to present?
    BOS: Theo Epstein: 23 votes (46%)
    KC: Dayton Moore: 22 votes (44%)
    NYM: Omar Minaya: 4 votes (8%)


    So without a further ado, here are the three best moves that Epstein has made in his tenure as General Manager of the Boston Red Sox:
    1. Traded Jorge De La Rosa, Casey Fossum, Brandon Lyon, Jorge De la Rosa and outfielder Michael Goss to the Arizona Diamondbacks for Curt Schilling: This will perhaps go down as the most famous trade in Boston Red Sox history. Schill of course delivered one of the greatest performances in sports history in the 2004 League Championship Series. The D-Backs did get some decent players but the Red Sox got the best of this deal by far.
    2. Red Sox hire Terry Francona as manager: Four out of the first twelve Boston managers managed to capture a world series title. This was then followed by 86 years of no managers capturing a world series title for Boston. However Epstein found the man Red Sox Nation had been searching for for dozens of years in December of 2003. The next year, Boston would break 'the curse' thanks in large part to a manager who didn't back down no matter how bleak things looked in that League Championship Series.
    3. Red Sox Acquire Josh Beckett, Mike Lowell, and Guillermo Mota from the Florida Marlins: Sure they had to give up Hanley Ramirez (one of the top five shortstops in baseball right now) and Anibal Sanchez (Who, shortly after, threw a no hitter) as well as Jesus Delgado and Harvey Garcia, but it was worth it. Beckett allowed them to capture a second ring as well as a division title. Also, Beckett's presence allows them to hold onto Clay Bucholtz and not spend him on an overpriced pitcher. Lowell also help establish the Red Sox current formidable lineup, which led also to the second Series victory and division title.

    So that concludes the first poll post. The next poll should be up shortly.